Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.150438 0.174384 0.200916 0.232501 0.269084 0.310141 0.359736
2025-06-29 0.110403 0.141724 0.180098 0.230596 0.295361 0.375732 0.483214
2025-07-06 0.090244 0.124279 0.168967 0.231987 0.318703 0.434056 0.599576
2025-07-13 0.079810 0.116401 0.167235 0.243096 0.353665 0.509350 0.746014
2025-07-20 0.071165 0.109073 0.164377 0.251053 0.383845 0.580268 0.894200
2025-07-27 0.064216 0.102889 0.161828 0.258341 0.412959 0.651987 1.051560
2025-08-03 0.057445 0.095839 0.156728 0.260506 0.433674 0.712384 1.197807
2025-08-10 0.050816 0.088004 0.149192 0.257408 0.444913 0.758155 1.324848
2025-08-17 0.044337 0.079506 0.139389 0.249016 0.445768 0.786093 1.424038
2025-08-24 0.041138 0.076244 0.137994 0.254801 0.471547 0.859041 1.610308
2025-08-31 0.037642 0.071977 0.134255 0.255771 0.488493 0.917763 1.777054
2025-09-07 0.034931 0.068810 0.132090 0.259266 0.510281 0.987320 1.971832
2025-09-14 0.031261 0.063430 0.125294 0.253337 0.513760 1.023605 2.108319
2025-09-21 0.028433 0.059381 0.120614 0.251043 0.524206 1.074742 2.281360
2025-09-28 0.026337 0.056555 0.118003 0.252562 0.542447 1.143258 2.498369
2025-10-05 0.025472 0.056193 0.120347 0.264662 0.584212 1.264756 2.843102
2025-10-12 0.024347 0.055129 0.121078 0.273329 0.619499 1.376338 3.179547
2025-10-19 0.023246 0.053979 0.121476 0.281269 0.654027 1.489990 3.534413
2025-10-26 0.021803 0.051877 0.119528 0.283627 0.676047 1.578023 3.840359
2025-11-02 0.020086 0.048929 0.115336 0.280252 0.684215 1.635106 4.079266
2025-11-09 0.018156 0.045247 0.109040 0.271111 0.677457 1.656296 4.232746
2025-11-16 0.017373 0.044283 0.109069 0.277412 0.709304 1.773690 4.641881
2025-11-23 0.016340 0.042570 0.107095 0.278469 0.728072 1.860946 4.984193